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Daily Intelligence Brief — 2026-08-03

Coffee News Edition

Top home run candidates from the daily tracker.

Full edition →
RankPlayerTeamOppScoreHR/G
6Spencer JonesNew York YankeesSt. Louis Cardinals26.33/7

Generated at 2026-08-03 06:02:27 for active domains: MLB, Options, Crypto, Sports

Overnight Market Deltas

  • BNB — $585.57500000 (24h: +0.55%)

  • BRENT — $83.20999908 (24h: -7.67%)

  • BTC — $62522.50000000 (24h: -0.86%)

  • ETH — $1839.05000000 (24h: -0.79%)

  • HYPE — $52.70000000 (24h: +2.74%)

  • SUI — $0.68540000 (24h: +0.03%)

  • XLM — $0.17129000 (24h: -1.80%)

  • XRP — $1.06375000 (24h: -1.50%)

  • xyz:AAPL — $311.47000000 (24h: +0.73%)

  • xyz:ALUMINIUM — $3080.00000000 (24h: +0.00%)

  • xyz:BRENTOIL — $82.90600000 (24h: -2.67%)

  • xyz:CL — $79.12400000 (24h: -3.87%)

  • xyz:COIN — $144.25000000 (24h: -1.52%)

  • xyz:COPPER — $6.50740000 (24h: -0.21%)

  • xyz:CORN — $4.61000000 (24h: +0.00%)

  • xyz:GOLD — $4066.00000000 (24h: +0.07%)

  • xyz:HOOD — $86.54600000 (24h: -0.98%)

  • xyz:MSTR — $91.87400000 (24h: -1.64%)

  • xyz:NATGAS — $2.77470000 (24h: +0.26%)

  • xyz:NVDA — $198.50000000 (24h: -0.77%)

  • xyz:PALLADIUM — $1277.50000000 (24h: -2.10%)

  • xyz:PLATINUM — $1648.00000000 (24h: -0.43%)

  • xyz:SILVER — $58.04900000 (24h: -0.78%)

  • xyz:SP500 — $7523.50000000 (24h: +0.38%)

  • xyz:TSLA — $311.93000000 (24h: +0.07%)

  • xyz:TTF — $57.00000000 (24h: +0.00%)

  • xyz:URANIUM — $85.00000000 (24h: +0.00%)

  • xyz:WHEAT — $6.30000000 (24h: +0.00%)

  • xyz:XLE — $58.89100000 (24h: +0.87%)

  • xyz:XYZ100 — $28286.00000000 (24h: -0.19%)

Overnight News

MLB

  • 8 MLB games on the schedule today.

Options

  • VIX at 15.95 (-0.25%).

  • SPY at 747.03 (+0.72%).

  • MSTR at 93.28 (-4.56%).

  • AAPL at 308.91.

  • 10-year Treasury yield at 4.75%.

Crypto

  • [DATA UNAVAILABLE] Crypto source failed.

Sports

  • SportSelect: 138 events scraped.

  • SportSelect: 1 soccer/FIFA events available.

Today's Forecast

MLB

  • 22:40 UTC — Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies (Scheduled)

  • 23:05 UTC — St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees (Scheduled)

  • 23:40 UTC — Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers (Scheduled)

  • 00:00 UTC — San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers (Scheduled)

  • 00:05 UTC — Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs (Scheduled)

  • 00:10 UTC — Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros (Scheduled)

  • 00:40 UTC — Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies (Scheduled)

  • 01:40 UTC — San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Scheduled)

Options

  • 09:30 ET — US equity options market open

Crypto

Sports

  • 8:00 am MT — NEWPORT COUNTY at AFC WIMBLEDON (August 8, 2026)

Economic Calendar

  • 09:00 UTC — USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 54.0 Previous: 53.3) (High impact)

  • 01:30 UTC — CHF CPI m/m (Actual: -0.1% Forecast: -0.1% Previous: 0.0%) (Medium impact)

  • 09:00 UTC — USD ISM Manufacturing Prices (Forecast: 70.0 Previous: 73.0) (Medium impact)

  • 01:00 UTC — EUR German Retail Sales m/m (Actual: -1.1% Forecast: -0.4% Previous: 1.2%) (Low impact)

  • 02:15 UTC — EUR Spanish Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 50.2 Forecast: 50.5 Previous: 49.7) (Low impact)

  • 02:30 UTC — CHF Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 53.2 Forecast: 54.5 Previous: 54.3) (Low impact)

  • 02:45 UTC — EUR Italian Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 51.3 Forecast: 52.5 Previous: 52.2) (Low impact)

  • 02:50 UTC — EUR French Final Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 49.8 Forecast: 50.0 Previous: 50.0) (Low impact)

  • 02:55 UTC — EUR German Final Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 52.2 Forecast: 52.2 Previous: 52.2) (Low impact)

  • 03:00 UTC — EUR Final Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 51.9 Forecast: 52.0 Previous: 52.0) (Low impact)

  • 03:30 UTC — GBP Final Manufacturing PMI (Actual: 51.9 Forecast: 52.8 Previous: 52.8) (Low impact)

  • 08:45 UTC — USD Final Manufacturing PMI (Forecast: 53.8 Previous: 53.8) (Low impact)

  • 09:00 UTC — USD Construction Spending m/m (Forecast: 0.2% Previous: 0.1%) (Low impact)

  • 18:50 UTC — JPY Monetary Base y/y (Forecast: -13.0% Previous: -13.7%) (Low impact)

  • 20:30 UTC — AUD Household Spending m/m (Forecast: 0.2% Previous: 1.3%) (Low impact)

  • 20:30 UTC — AUD ANZ Job Advertisements m/m (Previous: -0.2%) (Low impact)

  • 22:35 UTC — JPY 10-y Bond Auction (Previous: 2.73|3.1) (Low impact)

  • TBD — USD Loan Officer Survey (Low impact)

  • TBD — USD Omdia Total Vehicle Sales (Forecast: 16.3M Previous: 16.5M) (Low impact)

  • TBD — CAD Bank Holiday (Low impact)

Predictions

Sports_20260803_001 — Sports

  • Event: NEWPORT COUNTY at AFC WIMBLEDON (August 8, 2026 8:00 am MT)
  • Binary: WIMBL win?
  • P_Your: 0.7507 | P_Market: 0.7207 | Edge: 0.03
  • Odds: 1.55 | EV: 0.1636
  • Kelly: 0.2975 (applied: 0.1487)
  • Stake: 1487.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_001 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:BTC|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:62809|period:1d
  • Binary: BTC above 62809 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.3502 | P_Market: 0.4002 | Edge: -0.05
  • Odds: 2.4988 | EV: -0.1249
  • Kelly: -0.0833 (applied: -0.0416)
  • Stake: -416.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_002 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:BTC|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:62809|period:1d
  • Binary: BTC below 62809 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.6498 | P_Market: 0.5998 | Edge: 0.05
  • Odds: 1.6672 | EV: 0.0833
  • Kelly: 0.1249 (applied: 0.0624)
  • Stake: 624.0 | Confidence: Medium

HIP4_20260803_003 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:ETH|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:1859.1|period:1d
  • Binary: ETH above 1859.1 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.2513 | P_Market: 0.3013 | Edge: -0.05
  • Odds: 3.3194 | EV: -0.1658
  • Kelly: -0.0715 (applied: -0.0357)
  • Stake: -357.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_004 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:ETH|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:1859.1|period:1d
  • Binary: ETH below 1859.1 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.7487 | P_Market: 0.6987 | Edge: 0.05
  • Odds: 1.4311 | EV: 0.0715
  • Kelly: 0.1659 (applied: 0.0829)
  • Stake: 829.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_005 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:SOL|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:72.886|period:1d
  • Binary: SOL above 72.886 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.3182 | P_Market: 0.3682 | Edge: -0.05
  • Odds: 2.716 | EV: -0.1358
  • Kelly: -0.0791 (applied: -0.0396)
  • Stake: -396.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_006 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:SOL|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:72.886|period:1d
  • Binary: SOL below 72.886 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.6818 | P_Market: 0.6318 | Edge: 0.05
  • Odds: 1.5828 | EV: 0.0792
  • Kelly: 0.1359 (applied: 0.0679)
  • Stake: 679.0 | Confidence: Medium

HIP4_20260803_007 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:HYPE|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:52.777|period:1d
  • Binary: HYPE above 52.777 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.4153 | P_Market: 0.4653 | Edge: -0.05
  • Odds: 2.1493 | EV: -0.1074
  • Kelly: -0.0934 (applied: -0.0467)
  • Stake: -467.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_008 — HIP4

  • Event: class:priceBinary|underlying:HYPE|expiry:20260804-0600|targetPrice:52.777|period:1d
  • Binary: HYPE below 52.777 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC?
  • P_Your: 0.5847 | P_Market: 0.5347 | Edge: 0.05
  • Odds: 1.8701 | EV: 0.0934
  • Kelly: 0.1073 (applied: 0.0537)
  • Stake: 537.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_009 — HIP4

  • Event: index:0
  • Binary: Recurring Named Outcome Yes?
  • P_Your: 0.1345 | P_Market: 0.1345 | Edge: 0.0
  • Odds: 7.4349 | EV: -0.0
  • Kelly: -0.0 (applied: -0.0)
  • Stake: -0.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_010 — HIP4

  • Event: index:1
  • Binary: Recurring Named Outcome Yes?
  • P_Your: 0.7492 | P_Market: 0.7492 | Edge: 0.0
  • Odds: 1.3347 | EV: -0.0
  • Kelly: -0.0 (applied: -0.0)
  • Stake: -0.0 | Confidence: Low

HIP4_20260803_011 — HIP4

  • Event: index:2
  • Binary: Recurring Named Outcome Yes?
  • P_Your: 0.273 | P_Market: 0.273 | Edge: 0.0
  • Odds: 3.663 | EV: -0.0
  • Kelly: -0.0 (applied: -0.0)
  • Stake: -0.0 | Confidence: Low

Calls

  • Sports — Take WIMBL win? | Edge 0.03 | Stake 1487.0 | Confidence Low

  • HIP4 — Take BTC below 62809 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC? | Edge 0.05 | Stake 624.0 | Confidence Medium

  • HIP4 — Take ETH below 1859.1 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC? | Edge 0.05 | Stake 829.0 | Confidence Low

  • HIP4 — Take SOL below 72.886 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC? | Edge 0.05 | Stake 679.0 | Confidence Medium

  • HIP4 — Take HYPE below 52.777 at 2026-08-04 06:00 UTC? | Edge 0.05 | Stake 537.0 | Confidence Low

HIP-4 Crypto Binary Performance

  • Resolved: 12 (10 Wins, 2 Losses, 0 Pushes)
  • Hit Rate: 83.3%
  • Paper P&L: $1895.09 (ROI +19.32%)

No open HIP-4 crypto binaries.

Recent resolved:

  • HIP4_20260802_008 — HYPE below 52.433 at 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Loss | P&L $-1283.00

  • HIP4_20260802_006 — SOL below 73.564 at 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $367.54

  • HIP4_20260802_004 — ETH below 1875.3 at 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $330.99

  • HIP4_20260802_002 — BTC below 63431 at 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $370.45

  • HIP4_20260801_007 — HYPE above 51.65 at 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $381.86

  • HIP4_20260801_006 — SOL below 72.913 at 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Loss | P&L $-605.00

  • HIP4_20260801_003 — ETH above 1866.8 at 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $468.26

  • HIP4_20260801_001 — BTC above 63004 at 2026-08-02 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $419.24

  • HIP4_20260731_008 — HYPE below 55.189 at 2026-08-01 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $421.78

  • HIP4_20260731_006 — SOL below 74.208 at 2026-08-01 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $359.71

  • HIP4_20260731_004 — ETH below 1905.2 at 2026-08-01 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $335.99

  • HIP4_20260731_002 — BTC below 64330 at 2026-08-01 06:00 UTC? | Outcome: Win | P&L $327.28

Review

Yesterday's Calls

MLB

  • No MLB calls logged for 2026-08-02 — Outcome: N/A | Lesson: No predictions to review.

Options

  • No Options calls logged for 2026-08-02 — Outcome: N/A | Lesson: No predictions to review.

Crypto

  • No Crypto calls logged for 2026-08-02 — Outcome: N/A | Lesson: No predictions to review.

Sports

  • No Sports calls logged for 2026-08-02 — Outcome: N/A | Lesson: No predictions to review.

Key Lessons

  • No resolved outcomes yet for yesterday's calls — calibration loop will trigger after more predictions mature.

HIP-4 Outcome Markets

Crypto price binaries:

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 0.7% / No 99.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 98.1% / No 1.9%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 1.1% / No 98.9%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 26.4% / No 73.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 78.8% / No 21.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 2.3% / No 97.7%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 8.1% / No 91.9%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 89.6% / No 10.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 1.5% / No 98.5%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 9.4% / No 90.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 75.9% / No 24.1%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 14.0% / No 86.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 14.7% / No 85.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 80.0% / No 20.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 7.9% / No 92.1%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 29.6% / No 70.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 69.5% / No 30.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 3.8% / No 96.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 6.2% / No 93.8%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 80.8% / No 19.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 17.7% / No 82.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 2.3% / No 97.7%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 93.0% / No 7.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 3.0% / No 97.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 9.4% / No 90.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 87.2% / No 12.8%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 5.0% / No 95.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 4.4% / No 95.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 63.7% / No 36.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 30.6% / No 69.5%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 6.7% / No 93.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.2% / No 49.8%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 25.4% / No 74.5%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 8.7% / No 91.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 60.4% / No 39.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 12.3% / No 87.7%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 9.4% / No 90.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 85.8% / No 14.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 27.5% / No 72.5%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 16.4% / No 83.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 72.1% / No 27.9%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 3.8% / No 96.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 3.3% / No 96.7%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 41.6% / No 58.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 26.9% / No 73.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 8.8% / No 91.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.6% / No 49.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 27.9% / No 72.1%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 12.8% / No 87.2%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 84.9% / No 15.1%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 4.6% / No 95.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 10.3% / No 89.7%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 45.7% / No 54.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 74.4% / No 25.6%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 52.3% / No 47.7%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 75.1% / No 24.9%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 12.6% / No 87.4%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.0% / No 50.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 75.0% / No 25.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.0% / No 50.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 12.7% / No 87.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 60.9% / No 39.1%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.0% / No 50.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 3.2% / No 96.8%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 93.2% / No 6.8%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 2.7% / No 97.3%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.0% / No 50.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 50.0% / No 50.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 40.0% / No 60.0%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 13.4% / No 86.5%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 74.9% / No 25.1%

  • Recurring Named Outcome (exp TBD) — Yes 27.3% / No 72.7%

  • BTC 64159 (exp 20260712-0600) — Yes 37.0% / No 63.0%

  • BTC 63965 (exp 20260713-0600) — Yes 0.4% / No 99.6%

  • BTC 62814 (exp 20260714-0600) — Yes 17.3% / No 82.7%

  • BTC 62713 (exp 20260715-0600) — Yes 54.4% / No 45.6%

  • BTC 64953 (exp 20260716-0600) — Yes 40.3% / No 59.7%

  • BTC 64911 (exp 20260717-0600) — Yes 27.5% / No 72.5%

  • BTC 62843 (exp 20260718-0600) — Yes 73.1% / No 26.9%

  • BTC 63950 (exp 20260719-0600) — Yes 60.3% / No 39.7%

  • BTC 64715 (exp 20260720-0600) — Yes 33.0% / No 67.0%

  • BTC 64099 (exp 20260721-0600) — Yes 76.8% / No 23.2%

  • BTC 65720 (exp 20260722-0600) — Yes 73.8% / No 26.2%

  • BTC 65952 (exp 20260723-0600) — Yes 51.3% / No 48.7%

  • BTC 65659 (exp 20260724-0600) — Yes 42.0% / No 58.0%

  • BTC 65287 (exp 20260725-0600) — Yes 38.1% / No 61.9%

  • BTC 63995 (exp 20260726-0600) — Yes 52.8% / No 47.2%

  • BTC 64388 (exp 20260727-0600) — Yes 57.2% / No 42.8%

  • BTC 65438 (exp 20260728-0600) — Yes 32.1% / No 67.9%

  • BTC 63430 (exp 20260729-0600) — Yes 50.5% / No 49.5%

  • BTC 64039 (exp 20260730-0600) — Yes 70.3% / No 29.7%

  • BTC 64009 (exp 20260731-0600) — Yes 75.3% / No 24.7%

  • BTC 64330 (exp 20260801-0600) — Yes 22.6% / No 77.4%

  • BTC 63004 (exp 20260802-0600) — Yes 58.4% / No 41.6%

  • BTC 63431 (exp 20260803-0600) — Yes 31.8% / No 68.2%

  • BTC 62809 (exp 20260804-0600) — Yes 40.1% / No 59.9%

  • ETH 1799 (exp 20260712-0600) — Yes 87.4% / No 12.6%

  • ETH 1802.7 (exp 20260713-0600) — Yes 4.7% / No 95.3%

  • ETH 1781.3 (exp 20260714-0600) — Yes 36.6% / No 63.4%

  • ETH 1786.7 (exp 20260715-0600) — Yes 58.8% / No 41.2%

  • ETH 1882.9 (exp 20260716-0600) — Yes 52.2% / No 47.8%

  • ETH 1926.1 (exp 20260717-0600) — Yes 18.2% / No 81.8%

  • ETH 1823.9 (exp 20260718-0600) — Yes 64.3% / No 35.7%

  • ETH 1846 (exp 20260719-0600) — Yes 49.5% / No 50.5%

  • ETH 1868.8 (exp 20260720-0600) — Yes 51.1% / No 48.9%

  • ETH 1854.9 (exp 20260721-0600) — Yes 77.8% / No 22.2%

  • ETH 1930.6 (exp 20260722-0600) — Yes 54.4% / No 45.6%

  • ETH 1919 (exp 20260723-0600) — Yes 56.6% / No 43.4%

  • ETH 1922 (exp 20260724-0600) — Yes 52.1% / No 47.9%

  • ETH 1880.2 (exp 20260725-0600) — Yes 52.6% / No 47.4%

  • ETH 1857.8 (exp 20260726-0600) — Yes 48.7% / No 51.3%

  • ETH 1882.3 (exp 20260727-0600) — Yes 53.0% / No 47.0%

  • ETH 1965.3 (exp 20260728-0600) — Yes 43.7% / No 56.3%

  • ETH 1882.1 (exp 20260729-0600) — Yes 42.4% / No 57.6%

  • ETH 1911.6 (exp 20260730-0600) — Yes 51.0% / No 49.0%

  • ETH 1905.4 (exp 20260731-0600) — Yes 65.3% / No 34.7%

  • ETH 1905.2 (exp 20260801-0600) — Yes 26.4% / No 73.6%

  • ETH 1866.8 (exp 20260802-0600) — Yes 53.0% / No 47.0%

  • ETH 1875.3 (exp 20260803-0600) — Yes 23.5% / No 76.5%

  • ETH 1859.1 (exp 20260804-0600) — Yes 30.7% / No 69.3%

  • HYPE 66.502 (exp 20260712-0600) — Yes 95.0% / No 5.0%

  • HYPE 67.118 (exp 20260713-0600) — Yes 49.0% / No 51.0%

  • HYPE 65.39 (exp 20260714-0600) — Yes 8.5% / No 91.5%

  • HYPE 63.713 (exp 20260715-0600) — Yes 50.7% / No 49.3%

  • HYPE 67.127 (exp 20260716-0600) — Yes 78.5% / No 21.5%

  • HYPE 66.86 (exp 20260717-0600) — Yes 29.0% / No 71.0%

  • HYPE 59.116 (exp 20260718-0600) — Yes 77.0% / No 23.0%

  • HYPE 58.86 (exp 20260719-0600) — Yes 48.5% / No 51.5%

  • HYPE 60.752 (exp 20260720-0600) — Yes 54.5% / No 45.5%

  • HYPE 60.286 (exp 20260721-0600) — Yes 69.8% / No 30.2%

  • HYPE 63.019 (exp 20260722-0600) — Yes 42.2% / No 57.8%

  • HYPE 59.008 (exp 20260723-0600) — Yes 39.6% / No 60.4%

  • HYPE 58.842 (exp 20260724-0600) — Yes 58.5% / No 41.5%

  • HYPE 58.374 (exp 20260725-0600) — Yes 51.6% / No 48.4%

  • HYPE 57.198 (exp 20260726-0600) — Yes 66.0% / No 34.0%

  • HYPE 58.622 (exp 20260727-0600) — Yes 48.8% / No 51.2%

  • HYPE 60.111 (exp 20260728-0600) — Yes 44.6% / No 55.4%

  • HYPE 55.166 (exp 20260729-0600) — Yes 32.5% / No 67.5%

  • HYPE 54.972 (exp 20260730-0600) — Yes 48.0% / No 52.0%

  • HYPE 53.777 (exp 20260731-0600) — Yes 34.7% / No 65.3%

  • HYPE 55.189 (exp 20260801-0600) — Yes 40.9% / No 59.1%

  • HYPE 51.65 (exp 20260802-0600) — Yes 63.3% / No 36.7%

  • HYPE 52.433 (exp 20260803-0600) — Yes 20.8% / No 79.2%

  • HYPE 52.777 (exp 20260804-0600) — Yes 48.0% / No 52.0%

  • SOL 77.867 (exp 20260712-0600) — Yes 3.8% / No 96.2%

  • SOL 76.384 (exp 20260713-0600) — Yes 22.7% / No 77.3%

  • SOL 76.362 (exp 20260714-0600) — Yes 5.3% / No 94.7%

  • SOL 75.375 (exp 20260715-0600) — Yes 49.1% / No 50.9%

  • SOL 78.247 (exp 20260716-0600) — Yes 33.8% / No 66.2%

  • SOL 77.439 (exp 20260717-0600) — Yes 22.1% / No 77.9%

  • SOL 74.365 (exp 20260718-0600) — Yes 59.2% / No 40.8%

  • SOL 74.896 (exp 20260719-0600) — Yes 51.9% / No 48.1%

  • SOL 75.952 (exp 20260720-0600) — Yes 52.9% / No 47.1%

  • SOL 75.883 (exp 20260721-0600) — Yes 77.8% / No 22.2%

  • SOL 78.425 (exp 20260722-0600) — Yes 47.0% / No 53.0%

  • SOL 77.38 (exp 20260723-0600) — Yes 52.7% / No 47.3%

  • SOL 77.49 (exp 20260724-0600) — Yes 51.5% / No 48.5%

  • SOL 75.758 (exp 20260725-0600) — Yes 32.5% / No 67.5%

  • SOL 73.926 (exp 20260726-0600) — Yes 48.0% / No 52.0%

  • SOL 74.992 (exp 20260727-0600) — Yes 47.0% / No 53.0%

  • SOL 76.545 (exp 20260728-0600) — Yes 48.3% / No 51.7%

  • SOL 73.212 (exp 20260729-0600) — Yes 48.8% / No 51.2%

  • SOL 73.641 (exp 20260730-0600) — Yes 54.4% / No 45.6%

  • SOL 73.672 (exp 20260731-0600) — Yes 63.6% / No 36.4%

  • SOL 74.208 (exp 20260801-0600) — Yes 30.4% / No 69.6%

  • SOL 72.913 (exp 20260802-0600) — Yes 50.7% / No 49.3%

  • SOL 73.564 (exp 20260803-0600) — Yes 31.0% / No 69.0%

  • SOL 72.886 (exp 20260804-0600) — Yes 37.3% / No 62.7%

FIFA matches:

  • World Cup Semifinal: England vs Argentina — Yes 54.0% / No 46.0%

  • World Cup Final: Spain vs Argentina — Yes 59.1% / No 40.9%

  • World Cup Semifinal: France vs Spain — Yes 59.6% / No 40.4%

  • World Cup Third Place: France vs England — Yes 66.0% / No 34.0%

  • World Cup Quarterfinal: Argentina vs Switzerland — Yes 100.0% / No 0.0%

  • World Cup Quarterfinal: Norway vs England — Yes 0.0% / No 100.0%

Rates & macro:

  • Above 3.8% (cpi, June 2026) — Yes 32.7% / No 67.3%

  • Below 3.8% (cpi, June 2026) — Yes 20.2% / No 79.8%

  • Decrease (fomc, July 2026) — Yes 0.6% / No 99.5%

  • Exactly 3.8% (cpi, June 2026) — Yes 51.9% / No 48.1%

  • Increase (fomc, July 2026) — Yes 22.6% / No 77.4%

  • No change (fomc, July 2026) — Yes 76.0% / No 24.0%

Information & Notes

  • Current phase: 1. Infrastructure
  • Active loops: DAILY_LOOP
  • Blockers: None recorded
  • Open questions: See STATE.md

End of report. Next report: 2026-08-04 at 06:00.