SASKPOLY

Generated at 2026-09-20 06:02:47 for active domains: MLB, Options, Crypto, Sports

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Overnight Market Deltas

• BNB — $752.43 (24h: -1.98%)
• BRENT — $99.29 (24h: +0.00%)
• BTC — $80475.50 (24h: -1.08%)
• ETH — $2577.45 (24h: -2.42%)
• HYPE — $91.36 (24h: -1.26%)
• SUI — $0.82 (24h: -4.78%)
• XLM — $0.19 (24h: -2.47%)
• XRP — $1.38 (24h: -3.93%)
• xyz:AAPL — $333.50 (24h: -0.41%)
• xyz:ALUMINIUM — $3080.00 (24h: +0.00%)
• xyz:BRENTOIL — $100.73 (24h: +1.21%)
• xyz:CL — $97.26 (24h: +1.20%)
• xyz:COIN — $192.77 (24h: -1.15%)
• xyz:COPPER — $6.68 (24h: -0.01%)
• xyz:CORN — $4.61 (24h: +0.00%)
• xyz:GOLD — $4370.50 (24h: -0.11%)
• xyz:HOOD — $117.43 (24h: -1.90%)
• xyz:MSTR — $151.99 (24h: -2.70%)
• xyz:NATGAS — $3.05 (24h: +0.44%)
• xyz:NVDA — $220.43 (24h: -0.76%)
• xyz:PALLADIUM — $1306.00 (24h: +0.03%)
• xyz:PLATINUM — $1799.50 (24h: -0.05%)
• xyz:SILVER — $66.29 (24h: -0.30%)
• xyz:SP500 — $7636.70 (24h: -0.11%)
• xyz:TSLA — $362.86 (24h: -0.49%)
• xyz:TTF — $57.00 (24h: +0.00%)
• xyz:URANIUM — $85.00 (24h: +0.00%)
• xyz:WHEAT — $6.30 (24h: +0.00%)
• xyz:XLE — $64.10 (24h: -0.46%)
• xyz:XYZ100 — $29542.00 (24h: -0.20%)

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Overnight News

MLB

• 15 MLB games on the schedule today.
• Notable starters today include Cristopher Sánchez, Jonah Tong, Michael Wacha.

Options

• VIX at 14.81 (-4.08%).
• SPY at 761.69 (+0.13%).
• MSTR at 153.92 (+16.39%).
• AAPL at 336.13.
• AAPL implied earnings move estimate: 1.2% (from ATM straddle).
• 10-year Treasury yield at 5.00%.

Crypto

• BTC perpetual at $80,465.50 (-1.09% 24h) (Hyperliquid).
• BTC funding rate: 0.0013% (Hyperliquid).
• ETH perpetual at $2,576.95 (-2.43% 24h) (Hyperliquid).
• ETH funding rate: 0.0013% (Hyperliquid).
• HYPE perpetual at $91.39 (-1.29% 24h) (Hyperliquid).
• HYPE funding rate: 0.0013% (Hyperliquid).
• XRP perpetual at $1.38 (-3.96% 24h) (Hyperliquid).
• XRP funding rate: 0.0013% (Hyperliquid).
• BNB perpetual at $752.48 (-1.98% 24h) (Hyperliquid).
• BNB funding rate: 0.0013% (Hyperliquid).
• SUI perpetual at $0.8213 (-4.88% 24h) (Hyperliquid).
• SUI funding rate: 0.0013% (Hyperliquid).

Sports

• SportSelect: 248 events scraped.
• SportSelect: 23 soccer/FIFA events available.

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Today's Forecast

MLB

• 17:10 UTC — Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets (Scheduled)
• 17:35 UTC — Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Scheduled)
• 17:40 UTC — Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds (Scheduled)
• 17:40 UTC — Athletics @ Cleveland Guardians (Scheduled)
• 17:40 UTC — Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays (Scheduled)
• 18:10 UTC — Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros (Scheduled)
• 18:10 UTC — Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox (Scheduled)
• 18:15 UTC — Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals (Scheduled)
• 18:35 UTC — Toronto Blue Jays @ Texas Rangers (Scheduled)
• 19:10 UTC — Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies (Scheduled)
• 20:07 UTC — Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels (Scheduled)
• 20:10 UTC — San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Scheduled)
• 20:10 UTC — Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres (Scheduled)
• 20:10 UTC — New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Scheduled)
• 23:20 UTC — Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles (Scheduled)

Options

• 09:30 ET — US equity options market open

Crypto

• 00:00 / 08:00 / 16:00 UTC — Hyperliquid perpetual funding rate settlements

Sports

• 10:00 am MT — MALTA at ANDORRA (September 24, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — DENMARK at NORWAY (September 24, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — GERMANY at NETHERLANDS (September 24, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — GREECE at SERBIA (September 24, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — ISRAEL at AUSTRIA (September 24, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — WALES at PORTUGAL (September 24, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — LITHUANIA at LIECHTENSTEIN (September 24, 2026)
• 10:00 am MT — LATVIA at ARMENIA (September 25, 2026)
• 10:00 am MT — NORTHERN IRELAND at GEORGIA (September 25, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — UKRAINE at HUNGARY (September 25, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA at POLAND (September 25, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — CYPRUS at MONTENEGRO (September 25, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — BELGIUM at ITALY (September 25, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — ROMANIA at SWEDEN (September 25, 2026)
• 7:00 am MT — SCOTLAND at SLOVENIA (September 26, 2026)
• 10:00 am MT — ESTONIA at ICELAND (September 26, 2026)
• 10:00 am MT — LUXEMBOURG at BULGARIA (September 26, 2026)
• 10:00 am MT — FINLAND at SAN MARINO (September 26, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — BELARUS at ALBANIA (September 26, 2026)
• 12:45 pm MT — MOLDOVA at SLOVAKIA (September 26, 2026)

Economic Calendar

• 18:01 UTC — GBP Rightmove HPI m/m (Previous: -2.0%) (Low impact)
• 20:00 UTC — CNY 1-y Loan Prime Rate (Forecast: 3.00% Previous: 3.00%) (Low impact)
• 20:00 UTC — CNY 5-y Loan Prime Rate (Forecast: 3.50% Previous: 3.50%) (Low impact)
• 22:00 UTC — NZD Credit Card Spending y/y (Previous: 5.3%) (Low impact)
• TBD — JPY Bank Holiday (Low impact)

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Predictions

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Calls

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Model Performance

HR Tracker v2 — 7-Day Backtest

• Top-1 hit rate: 26.6% | Overall pick rate: 26.8% (243 picks)
• Tier hit rates: Green 38% (21) / Yellow 32% (40) / Red 24% (182)
• Gate-kill rate: 0.0% | High-env (≥5.0) rate: 0.0%

SBFG Calibration (as of 2026-09-20)

• Resolved predictions: 977 | Accuracy: 58.5% | Brier score: 0.2403
• ROI by edge threshold: ≥3%: +19.6% (730 bets) | ≥5%: +22.4% (568 bets) | ≥7%: +23.8% (428 bets)

7-Day Record

• 2026-09-13: 4W-0L (100%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-14: 2W-2L (50%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-15: 4W-0L (100%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-16: 4W-0L (100%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-17: 4W-0L (100%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-18: 4W-0L (100%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-19: 4W-0L (100%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 2026-09-20: 1W-3L (25%) | Avg CLV +0.00
• 7-day total: 27W-5L (84% hit rate)

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Information & Notes

• Current phase: 1. Infrastructure
• Active loops: DAILY_LOOP
• Blockers: None recorded
• Open questions: See STATE.md

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End of report. Next report: 2026-09-21 at 06:00.